Election results 2022: Prof Sir John Curtice on what they show so far

England results 140 of 146 councils. Counting under way. Number of councillors LAB 2,051 (Labour 2,051 councillors) , +48 (48 councillors gained) CON 990 (Conservative 990 councillors) , -314 (314 councillors lost) LD 678 (Liberal Democrat 678 councillors) , +178 (178 councillors gained) IND 132 (Independents 132 councillors) , +18 (18 councillors gained) GRN 108 (Green 108 councillors) , +60 (60 councillors gained) RA 51 (Residents' Association 51 councillors) , +10 (10 councillors gained) window.__INITIAL_DATA__="{"data":{"global-navigation?country=us&language=en-GB":{"name":"global-navigation","props":{"country":"us","language":"en-GB"},"data":{"accessibilityLinks":[{"label":"Skip to content","url":"#main-heading"},{"label":"Accessibility Help","url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/accessibility/"}],"signInLabel":"Sign in","accountLabel":"Your account","menuLabel":"Menu","moreLabel":"More","moreMenuLabel":"More menu","closeButtonLabel":"Close menu","legalLinks":[{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/usingthebbc/terms","label":"Terms of Use"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/aboutthebbc","label":"About the BBC"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/usingthebbc/privacy","label":"Privacy Policy"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/usingthebbc/cookies","label":"Cookies"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/accessibility","label":"Accessibility Help"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/guidance","label":"Parental Guidance"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/contact","label":"Contact the BBC"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/bbcnewsletter","label":"Get Personalised Newsletters"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/help-41670342","label":"Why you can trust the BBC"},{"url":"https://www.bbcglobalnews.com/home/","label":"Advertise with us"},{"url":"https://www.bbc.com/usingthebbc/cookies/how-does-the-bbc-use-cookies-for-advertising/","label":"AdChoices / Do Not Sell My Info"}],"disclaimer":{"text":"© 2022 BBC. 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gained"}}}]}}]},"importance":"SECONDARY","isPersonalised":false,"hasFetcher":true},"article?currentPageAnalyticsDestination=NEWS_GNL&env=live&host=www.bbc.co.uk&isAdvertisingEnabled=false&language=en-GB&leftAligned=true&uri=%2Fnews%2Fuk-politics-61347764":{"name":"article","props":{"uri":"/news/uk-politics-61347764","leftAligned":true,"language":"en-GB","host":"www.bbc.co.uk","env":"live","currentPageAnalyticsDestination":"NEWS_GNL","isAdvertisingEnabled":false},"data":{"metadata":{"id":"urn:bbc:ares::asset:news/uk-politics-61347764","assetId":"61347764","curie":"http://www.bbc.co.uk/asset/fa23a0c8-598a-4ec7-ad2c-167d5e127fd2","locators":{"canonicalUrl":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-61347764"},"seoHeadline":"Election results 2022: Prof Sir John Curtice on what they show so far","promoHeadline":{"blocks":[{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"Prof Sir John Curtice on what results show so far","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Prof 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Curtice","originalSrc":"https://c.files.bbci.co.uk/56A5/production/_124618122_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png","iChefRecipe":"https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/$recipe/branded_news/56A5/production/_124618122_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png","width":976,"height":549,"isEditorialImage":true},"type":"STY","options":{"isIgorSeoTagsEnabled":false,"includeComments":true,"allowRightHandSide":true,"isFactCheck":false,"allowDateStamp":true,"suitableForSyndication":true,"hasNewsTracker":false,"allowRelatedStoriesBox":true,"isKeyContent":false,"allowHeadline":true,"allowAdvertising":true,"hasContentWarning":false,"isBreakingNews":false,"allowPrintingSharingLinks":true},"languageCode":"en-gb","assetUri":"/news/uk-politics-61347764","description":"Results so far on Friday show Lib Dems, not Labour, capitalising on Tory losses.","lastUpdated":1651854484819,"firstPublished":1651831039000,"lastPublished":1651849908000,"analytics":{"page":{"name":"news.politics.story.61347764.page","contentId":"urn:bbc:cps:curie:asset:fa23a0c8-598a-4ec7-ad2c-167d5e127fd2","section":"politics","producer":"NEWS","additionalProperties":{"custom_var_1":"2022-05-06T09:57:19.000Z","custom_var_2":"2022-05-06T15:11:48.000Z","custom_var_3":"Conservative+Party~Liberal+Democrats~England+elections+2022~Labour+Party~UK+elections+2022","custom_var_4":"3aff5e08-0158-4fb4-899c-6da96879eb2c~721164e2-b45a-4fda-a291-d5cd805f7ff7~8863bf21-9425-465a-9d39-a0d10331b7d5~9af10aab-ed0c-486b-b426-d5d4f8ce74b4~fe926c91-33db-4640-a26a-681bae0befe7"}}},"site":{"name":"BBC News","uri":"/news"},"consumableInPlace":false,"section":{"name":"UK Politics","uri":"/news/politics"},"timestampRelative":"2 hours ago","publishedDateTime":"2022-05-06T15:11:48.000Z","translations":{"aroundTheBBC":"Around the BBC","externalLinksWarningText":"The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites.","published":"Published","relatedInternetLinks":"Related Internet Links","seeAlsos":"More on this story","socialEmbed":{"instagram":{"warningText":null,"linkText":null},"facebook":{"warningText":"The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites.","linkText":"View original post on Facebook"},"twitter":{"warningText":"The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites.","linkText":"View original tweet on Twitter"},"youtube":{"warningText":"Warning: Third party content may contain adverts","linkText":null}},"tagList":"Related Topics","updated":"Updated"}},"headline":"Election results 2022: Prof Sir John Curtice on what they show so far","content":{"model":{"blocks":[{"type":"image","model":{"image":{"alt":"Prof Sir John Curtice","copyright":null,"height":549,"width":976,"src":"https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/EA43/production/_124617995_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png","srcSet":"https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/240/cpsprodpb/EA43/production/_124617995_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/EA43/production/_124617995_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/EA43/production/_124617995_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/EA43/production/_124617995_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/800/cpsprodpb/EA43/production/_124617995_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png 800w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/EA43/production/_124617995_le_2022_index_promo_john_curtice-nc.png 976w"},"emphasiseImage":true}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"Well over half of the councils in England that held an election on Thursday have declared their results, while the initial results from half the wards in Scotland have now been published too.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Well over half of the councils in England that held an election on Thursday have declared their results, while the initial results from half the wards in Scotland have now been published too.","attributes":["bold"]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"They have produced the much-anticipated reverse in electoral fortunes for the Conservatives. The BBC's projected national share, which estimates what the result would have been if all Britain had been voting yesterday, puts the party on 30%. That represents a six-point drop on the equivalent estimate for last year and is five points down on 2018 when the seats were previously up for grabs. ","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"They have produced the much-anticipated reverse in electoral fortunes for the Conservatives. The BBC's projected national share, which estimates what the result would have been if all Britain had been voting yesterday, puts the party on 30%. That represents a six-point drop on the equivalent estimate for last year and is five points down on 2018 when the seats were previously up for grabs. ","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"The results confirm that the party is now electorally weaker than at any point since Boris Johnson won his majority of 80 in 2019.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"The results confirm that the party is now electorally weaker than at any point since Boris Johnson won his majority of 80 in 2019.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"However, as was also anticipated, this fall in support has not resulted in spectacular losses of seats. That reflects the fact that the Conservatives were defending many fewer wards than Labour. Even so, the loss of nearly 280 seats in England represents about one in four of the seats the party was trying to defend. ","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"However, as was also anticipated, this fall in support has not resulted in spectacular losses of seats. That reflects the fact that the Conservatives were defending many fewer wards than Labour. Even so, the loss of nearly 280 seats in England represents about one in four of the seats the party was trying to defend. ","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"Meanwhile, although the party has so far only lost control of 10 councils, among those are the totemic councils of Wandsworth and Westminster, where hitherto the local Tories' low council tax policy had seemingly helped them keep control - even when the national tide was running against their party. Elsewhere in London, Labour have also wrestled Barnet from Conservative control.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Meanwhile, although the party has so far only lost control of 10 councils, among those are the totemic councils of Wandsworth and Westminster, where hitherto the local Tories' low council tax policy had seemingly helped them keep control - even when the national tide was running against their party. Elsewhere in London, Labour have also wrestled Barnet from Conservative control.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"Indeed, the results across England indicate that Tory councils with relatively low council tax rates did not perform better at the ballot box - a pattern that the party might want to bear in mind in future local election campaigns.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Indeed, the results across England indicate that Tory councils with relatively low council tax rates did not perform better at the ballot box - a pattern that the party might want to bear in mind in future local election campaigns.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"However, the loss of support for the Conservatives did not simply translate into Labour advance. Although at 35%, its projected share is six points up on last year, it is no better than what the party achieved in 2018 when Jeremy Corbyn was still party lead. A half point advance in Labour's vote share since 2018 in London was accompanied by a three-point fall in the north of England. ","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"However, the loss of support for the Conservatives did not simply translate into Labour advance. Although at 35%, its projected share is six points up on last year, it is no better than what the party achieved in 2018 when Jeremy Corbyn was still party lead. A half point advance in Labour's vote share since 2018 in London was accompanied by a three-point fall in the north of England. ","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"The 48 net gains of seats it had registered by 15:00 BST (almost all of them in London) is a consequence of the decline in Conservative support rather than of any electoral advance by Labour themselves since 2018.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"The 48 net gains of seats it had registered by 15:00 BST (almost all of them in London) is a consequence of the decline in Conservative support rather than of any electoral advance by Labour themselves since 2018.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"image","model":{"image":{"alt":"BBC Projected National Share graphic","copyright":null,"height":864,"width":1536,"src":"https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1536/cpsprodpb/0CDB/production/_124619230_tffsmtaw.png","srcSet":"https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/240/cpsprodpb/0CDB/production/_124619230_tffsmtaw.png 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/0CDB/production/_124619230_tffsmtaw.png 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/0CDB/production/_124619230_tffsmtaw.png 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/0CDB/production/_124619230_tffsmtaw.png 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/800/cpsprodpb/0CDB/production/_124619230_tffsmtaw.png 800w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/0CDB/production/_124619230_tffsmtaw.png 976w"}}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"In fact, the Conservative decline has helped the Liberal Democrats even more than Labour. Coupled with the modest three point increase to 19% in the party's projected national share since 2018, the party has so far enjoyed a net gain of 79 seats and gained control of Kingston-upon-Hull from Labour and of Somerset from the Conservatives. ","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"In fact, the Conservative decline has helped the Liberal Democrats even more than Labour. Coupled with the modest three point increase to 19% in the party's projected national share since 2018, the party has so far enjoyed a net gain of 79 seats and gained control of Kingston-upon-Hull from Labour and of Somerset from the Conservatives. ","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"Of particular note is the average increase of eight points in the Liberal Democrat vote in places where the party started off in second place to the Conservatives, a performance that the party will hope augurs well for winning so-called blue wall parliamentary seats, where the party is breathing down the Conservatives' neck.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Of particular note is the average increase of eight points in the Liberal Democrat vote in places where the party started off in second place to the Conservatives, a performance that the party will hope augurs well for winning so-called blue wall parliamentary seats, where the party is breathing down the Conservatives' neck.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"Overall, other than the 2019 local elections when the party also scored 19% in the projected share, the result represents its best performance in local elections since it entered into coalition with the Conservatives after the 2010 general election.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Overall, other than the 2019 local elections when the party also scored 19% in the projected share, the result represents its best performance in local elections since it entered into coalition with the Conservatives after the 2010 general election.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"However, perhaps the least anticipated success has been that of the Greens in gaining 35 seats, enough to more than double the party's representation on the councils that have declared so far. The party won an average of 12% in those wards that it fought, up four points on 2018, though not quite matching its previous best ever local election performance in 2019.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"However, perhaps the least anticipated success has been that of the Greens in gaining 35 seats, enough to more than double the party's representation on the councils that have declared so far. The party won an average of 12% in those wards that it fought, up four points on 2018, though not quite matching its previous best ever local election performance in 2019.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"Although much concern was expressed before the election that the various recent scandals at Westminster would serve to depress turnout, in the event it was only down by a point or two on other recent local elections. There is no sign that particularly large falls in turnout were occasioned by Tory voters staying at home.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Although much concern was expressed before the election that the various recent scandals at Westminster would serve to depress turnout, in the event it was only down by a point or two on other recent local elections. There is no sign that particularly large falls in turnout were occasioned by Tory voters staying at home.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"include","model":{"type":"vj","href":"/include/newsspec/32757-uk-elections-lookup-2022/english/app?responsive=true&newsapps=true&app-image=https://c.files.bbci.co.uk/16192/production/_123741509_le_2022_lookup_app_launcher640-2x-nc.png&app-clickable=true&amp-clickable=true&amp-image-height=360&amp-image-width=640&amp-image=https://c.files.bbci.co.uk/16192/production/_123741509_le_2022_lookup_app_launcher640-2x-nc.png&app-image-alt-text=Click%20or%20tap%20here%20to%20see%20interactive%20content","html":"\u003cscript>\n window.vjConfigObject = window.vjConfigObject || {};\n window.vjConfigObject['newsspec-32757-uk-elections-lookup-2022-app'] = {\"js\":true,\"output\":{\"wrapper\":\"embed\"},\"name\":\"newsspec-32757-uk-elections-lookup-2022\",\"version\":\"1.0.202205060436\",\"urlToOutputDir\":\"https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/newsspec/32757-uk-elections-lookup-2022\",\"assetsPath\":\"https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/newsspec/32757-uk-elections-lookup-2022/assets/app-project-assets\",\"includeName\":\"app\",\"language\":\"english\",\"languageCode\":\"en\",\"loremText\":[\"Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. 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Please try searching by postcode, English, Scottish or Welsh council area or Northern Ireland constituency\",\"noJS\":\"A modern browser with JavaScript and a stable internet connection is required to view this interactive. [More information about these elections](https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/who-we-are-and-what-we-do/elections-and-referendums/upcoming-elections)\",\"refresh_text\":\"Refresh the page to load the latest results\",\"\":\"\",\"num_of_votes_text\":\"In {{name}}, voting will take place on {{beginBold}}Thursday 5 May{{endBold}} for the following:\",\"no_votes_text\":\"There are no main council or mayoral elections in {{name}} in May. There may be parish council elections or council by-elections where you are. Check your local council website for full details.\",\"num_of_votes_text_results\":\"In {{name}}, voting took place on Thursday 5 May for the following:\",\"no_votes_text_results\":\"There were no main council or mayoral elections in {{name}} in May. There may have been parish council elections or council by-elections where you are. Check your local council website for full details. \",\"more_info_text\":\"\",\"more_info_text_ni\":\"[More on Northern Ireland politics](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/northern_ireland/northern_ireland_politics)\",\"more_info_text_eng\":\"\",\"more_info_text_wal\":\"[Wales elections: A simple guide](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-60736735)\",\"more_info_text_scot\":\"[Scotland elections: A simple guide](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-60764222)\",\"disclaimer_text\":\"Note: This lookup covers the national election in Northern Ireland, as well as council and mayoral elections in England, Scotland and Wales. There may be parish council elections or council by-elections where you are. Check your local council website for full details.\",\"last_updated\":\"Last updated: {{timestamp}}\",\"timeline_current\":\"2022\",\"timeline_previous\":\"Previous\",\"ignore \":\"CONTEXTUAL INFORMATION\",\"contextual_title\":\"What do they do?\",\"contextual_text_bristol\":\"What is it about?\",\"district_council\":\"District councils are responsible for services like bin collections, parks, public housing and local planning applications.\u003cbr/>\u003cbr/>Other public services in a district council area will be controlled by the county council which covers a wider area.\",\"county_council\":\"County councils are responsible for services like education, road maintenance, social care, public libraries and long-term strategic planning.\u003cbr/>\u003cbr/>Other public services in a county council area will be controlled by the more local district council.\",\"unitary_authority\":\"Unitary authorities look after all the local council services, such as schools, road maintenance, bin collections, public housing and social care.\",\"unitary_authority_ny\":\"Unitary authorities look after all the local council services, such as schools, road maintenance, bin collections, public housing and social care\u003cbr/>\u003cbr/>North Yorkshire Council is a new council that will come into existence on the 1 April 2023. It replaces North Yorkshire County Council and the district councils of Craven, Hambleton, Harrogate, Richmondshire, Ryedale, Scarborough and Selby.\",\"unitary_authority_som\":\"Unitary authorities look after all the local council services, such as schools, road maintenance, bin collections, public housing and social care\u003cbr/>\u003cbr/>Somerset Council is a new council that will come into existence on the 1 April 2023. It replaces Somerset County Council and the district councils of Mendip, Sedgemoor, South Somerset and Somerset West and Taunton.\",\"unitary_authority_cum\":\"Unitary authorities look after all the local council services, such as schools, road maintenance, bin collections, public housing and social care\u003cbr/>\u003cbr/>Cumberland Council is a new council that will come into existence on the 1 April 2023. It replaces Cumbria County Council and the district councils of Allerdale, Carlisle and Copeland.\",\"unitary_authority_wf\":\"Unitary authorities look after all the local council services, such as schools, road maintenance, bin collections, public housing and social care\u003cbr/>\u003cbr/>Westmorland and Furness Council is a new council that will come into existence on the 1 April 2023. 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He will doubtless argue that governments often lose ground in the middle of a parliamentary term, and in the past the damage has often been worse than this.","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"All in all, Boris Johnson might feel this morning that the overnight news has not been as bad as he might have feared. He will doubtless argue that governments often lose ground in the middle of a parliamentary term, and in the past the damage has often been worse than this.","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"text","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"paragraph","model":{"text":"That said, these results illustrate the sharp decline in Conservative support over the last 12 months, not least in the wake of the recent partygate scandal and the ongoing cost of living crisis. ","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"That said, these results illustrate the sharp decline in Conservative support over the last 12 months, not least in the wake of the recent partygate scandal and the ongoing cost of living crisis. 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Not quite","locator":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-61344477","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"A night of jubilation and disaster? Not quite","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"listItem","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"POSTCODE SEARCH: ","attributes":["bold"]}},{"type":"urlLink","model":{"text":"What are the results in my area?","locator":"https://tinyurl.com/2ensarwx","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"What are the results in my area?","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"listItem","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"NORTHERN IRELAND: ","attributes":["bold"]}},{"type":"urlLink","model":{"text":"Full results","locator":"https://tinyurl.com/2bcbt69u","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Full results","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"listItem","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"SCOTLAND: ","attributes":["bold"]}},{"type":"urlLink","model":{"text":"Full results","locator":"https://tinyurl.com/2psnx9r8","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Full results","attributes":[]}}]}}]}},{"type":"listItem","model":{"blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"WALES: ","attributes":["bold"]}},{"type":"urlLink","model":{"text":"Full results","locator":"https://tinyurl.com/3fzye2n5","blocks":[{"type":"fragment","model":{"text":"Full results","attributes":[]}}]}}]}}]}},{"type":"image","model":{"image":{"alt":"Bottom banner","copyright":null,"height":20,"width":1024,"src":"https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/cpsprodpb/7223/production/_123891292_uk_election_2022_banner_bottom_640x2-nc.png","srcSet":"https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/240/cpsprodpb/7223/production/_123891292_uk_election_2022_banner_bottom_640x2-nc.png 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/7223/production/_123891292_uk_election_2022_banner_bottom_640x2-nc.png 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/7223/production/_123891292_uk_election_2022_banner_bottom_640x2-nc.png 480w, 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