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Could the Conservatives lose five by-elections?

The seat could have particular resonance, as one Labour figure points out. In 1996, a year before Tony Blair came to power, Labour won an old version of the seat (South East Staffordshire) – overturning a Conservative majority of 7,192 to win by a massive 13,762. The Conservative majority Labour would need to overturn this time is bigger (19,634) – but strategists think they’re in with a shot.

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